Corona update: “At current rate, cases in India could rise to 75,000 in next 5 days” , says study
INDIA: India has witnessed a sudden surge in its Covid-19 cases ever since the restrictions on movement have been partially lifted. According to the latest update by the Health Ministry, the coronavirus cases in India now stand at a count of 52,952. More than 1,700 people have died due to the virus across the country. With 15,267 recovered patients and 1,783 deaths in the country, currently, there are 35,902 active patients.
With a huge spike in new cases from the last three days, India Today too registered 3,561 new cases & 89 deaths in the last 24 hours.
Following states have reported maximum cases:
- Maharashtra : 16,758
- Gujarat : 6,625
- Delhi : 5,532
- Tamil Nadu : 4,829
- Rajasthan : 3,317
- Madhya Pradesh : 3,138
- Uttar Pradesh : 2,998
- Andhra Pradesh : 1,777
- Punjab : 1,516
- West Bengal : 1,456
In the last 24 hours, Maharashtra has reported 1,233 new cases while the second highest, 771 new cases have been reported from Tamil Nadu. Delhi & Gujarat have reported nearly 400 cases while Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh & West Bengal too are reporting a spike in cases in the states.
Highest deaths in the country have been reported by these states:
- Maharashtra : 651
- Gujarat : 396
- Madhya Pradesh : 185
- West Bengal : 144
- Rajasthan : 92
According to a recent study it has been found that India’s case count has nearly doubled to what it was eleven days ago. This is a much slower rate compared to early-April, when cases were doubling every four days. Deaths have also seen slower rise compared to the trend in early-April but have picked up pace over the past week. India’s death toll from covid-19 as of today morning was 1,783, roughly double what it was ten days ago.
So far this week, the number of cases has gone up by 25 percent (between Monday morning and Thursday morning). This is a faster rate of increase compared to the previous three days, when confirmed cases had risen by 22 percent.
The trajectories of most Asian countries, including India, have been flatter as compared to the Western nations where the virus has claimed more lives. Yet, with the rise in infection in many Asian countries, the situation could become worse in near future.
At the current rate of compounded daily growth, the number of cases could rise to 75,000 in the next five days. If this trajectory continues beyond that period, it could overwhelm India’s hospital capacity and strain an already overstretched health system.