The much-awaited Bihar Assembly elections exit poll predictions are scheduled to be announced at 6.30 pm, just after the end of the voting on the second and final phase of the election. All 243 assembly seats are up, with the majority mark set at 122 the figure needed to make the government.
This election is being keenly followed because it will determine whether the current government of National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will still be in power or maybe the opposition Grand Alliance also referred to as the Mahagathbandhan will be able to take over power in the state. The politics of Bihar has always been characterized by fierce political contests and alliances and hence the result is very unpredictable.
The exit polls are likely to give the initial outline of the likely results before the actual tallying. Nevertheless, it is necessary to mention that exit polls are merely the projections but not the ultimate outcome.
What is an Exit Poll?
An exit poll is a survey that allows making predictions about the probable result of an election and the way the voters act. The surveys are conducted as soon as voters have gone to the polling stations and left them. The polling agencies gather information on which party or candidate was supported by the voters and why they made such decisions.
Exit polls are used to fulfill two functions, the first is that they give early indicators of which party may be ahead and the other is that they give indicators of trends like voter turnout, demographic preference, and issues that are most likely to have an impact on the electorate.
Though exit polls are exciting and controversial, they may not be accurate enough particularly depending on the sample size, the methodology used, and the honesty of the voters. The Election Commission officially measures out the results and they are the final and official result of the election.
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