The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that summer in India will be less severe than normal, with daytime temperatures between April and June likely to be at or below their normal levels in most areas. In contrast to this prediction, however, the weather agency has warned that increased thunderstorm activity is expected during the month of April, resulting in heavy rain and severe wind across large parts of the country.
Although cooler-than-average temperatures will be appreciated by residents and may lead to reduced power consumption during an energy shortage as a result of geopolitical issues, wetter-than-average conditions may present problems for agriculture. Farmers may be at risk of crop loss as a result of bad weather, particularly for crops that are currently growing and have recently been affected by western disturbances.
In addition, the IMD indicated that the likelihood of an El Niño developing late in the monsoon season has risen to approximately 80%. If this occurs, rainfall during the critical monsoon months could be decreased, which would raise concern over the availability of water and agricultural production.
Regionally, daytime temperatures in some parts of eastern India, northeastern India, and neighboring areas in central and peninsular India will likely be higher than normal. Nighttime temperatures in most areas will continue to be higher than normal.