As per senior officials of the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the annual monsoon rains are now set to completely cover the entire country in just three to four days, about a week before their normal schedule of July 8. This early and broadly distributed monsoon has the potential to cause a considerable jump start of agricultural inventing of summer crops, giving an opportune stimulus to the agriculture-based economy in the country.
India, the world’s second-biggest economy, is almost entirely dependent on the monsoon that commences in the southernmost state of Kerala somewhere on June 1 and advances to the north. It provides almost 70 per cent of the total rainfall of the land, which is very essential to fill fresh water tables, water tables, and dams. However, most importantly, it supports almost fifty per cent of farmlands in India, which are yet to rely on rain-fed irrigation.
Following a slow start of almost two weeks, the monsoon gained momentum last week, rapidly inundating big areas of central and northern India. By Thursday, rains had covered all the states except the parts of Rajasthan, Haryana, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh. Nevertheless, the monsoon has a very high chance of sweeping into these still vacant regions in the coming couple of days, according to R.K. Jenamani, who is the chief of the national weather forecasting centre.
Although initially, the rainfall deficit in the first half of June stood at 31 per cent, the recent rebound has transformed the negative into a 9 per cent excess so far this month. Farmers, particularly in those states that depend on rain on time to plant crops such as rice, soybeans, cotton, sugarcane, and corn, are bound to gain a lot as a result of this recovery.
Going forward, the IMD has just predicted an above-average monsoon rainfall that will happen in the 2025 season, which is the second consecutive season where favourable rainfall patterns have occurred for the agricultural sector in India.
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