IMD has announced that the southwest monsoon is expected to start over Kerala within the coming four to five days. It is earlier than when summer usually arrives on June 1. According to the forecast, the monsoon will start earlier in India than any time since 2009.
Earlier IMD expected the southwest monsoon to arrive in Kerala on May 27. At this point, experts are closely monitoring the skies since they believe the situation looks extremely promising for an earlier start.
The IMD commented that parts of the country are seeing improved circumstances for development of the southwest monsoon. This included other places in the South Arabian Sea, the Comorin area, a part of the Lakshadweep Islands, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and parts of the South and Central Bay of Bengal, Northeast Bay of Bengal and some northeastern states.
The formation of a ‘heat low’ in Northwest India is usually a key reason for normal monsoons in the country. The low-pressure area is responsible for guiding moist air from the ocean into the area of the monsoon trough. Right now, the ‘heat low’ has yet to develop which is somewhat worrying. Even so, both the IMD and independent meteorologists hope that the monsoon will show up on its usual schedule, despite the lack of this feature.
Furthermore, the IMD reported that an upper-air cyclone may form over the east-central Arabian Sea near Karnataka coast on May 21. There is a chance that the change in system could form a weak low on May 22 which could then grow stronger and move northwards to help push monsoon rainfall northward.
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